Odds & Probability
Understand what each match means, how rare it is, and what to realistically expect from a ticket.
Prize Tiers (At a glance)
MatchPrizeOdds
Odds
Odds are the published '1 in X' chances for each prize tier.
Example: Lower X means more common outcomes.
5 + PowerballJackpot1 in 292,201,338
5$1,000,0001 in 11,688,054
4 + Powerball$50,0001 in 913,129
4$1001 in 36,525
3 + Powerball$1001 in 14,494
3$71 in 579
2 + Powerball$71 in 701
1 + Powerball$41 in 92
0 + Powerball$41 in 38
Odds
Odds
Odds are the published '1 in X' chances for each prize tier.
Example: Lower X means more common outcomes.
5 + PowerballJackpot
1 in 292,201,338
5$1,000,000
1 in 11,688,054
4 + Powerball$50,000
1 in 913,129
4$100
1 in 36,525
3 + Powerball$100
1 in 14,494
3$7
1 in 579
2 + Powerball$7
1 in 701
1 + Powerball$4
1 in 92
0 + Powerball$4
1 in 38
Prize amounts may vary. Odds shown are the standard published odds.
Probability Visualizer
5 + Powerball
JackpotOdds1 in 292,201,338
Odds
Odds are the published '1 in X' chances for each prize tier.
Example: Lower X means more common outcomes.
ProbabilityThat's about < 0.0001% per play.≈ 3.42e-7%
Probability
Odds are the published '1 in X' chances for each prize tier.
Example: Lower X means more common outcomes.
Compare: This is the rarest outcome.
Example: ~1 time in 292,201,338 plays
On average, over a very long period.
More commonExtremely rare
Rarity: Extremely rare
Try another tier to see how rarity shifts.
Quick Comparisons
Jackpot is extremely rare - closer to \"once in hundreds of millions\" than \"once in thousands\".
Small wins like \"Powerball only\" are much more common than matching 4+ numbers.
Smart Picks helps you generate structured combinations, but Powerball outcomes are still random.